Democratic 2020 White House hopefuls Joe BidenJoe BidenHillicon Valley: Biden calls on Facebook to change political speech rules | Dems demand hearings after Georgia election chaos | Microsoft stops selling facial recognition tech to police Trump finalizing executive order calling on police to use ‘force with compassion’ The Hill’s Campaign Report: Biden campaign goes on offensive against Facebook MORE and Pete ButtigiegPete ButtigiegScaled-back Pride Month poses challenges for fundraising, outreach Biden hopes to pick VP by Aug. 1 It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process MORE are in a statistical dead heat with President Trump among Arizona voters, according to a new poll.
In a mock-up general election, Biden has 44 percent support compared to Trump’s 46 percent, according to the OH Predictive Insights poll released Monday.
Buttigieg has 43 percent support compared to Trump’s 45 percent. Both of Trump’s narrow 2-point leads against the Democrats are within the 3.9 percentage point margin of error.
The results show a decrease in support for the former vice president, who led Trump 49 percent to 44 percent in the state based on a May poll.
But Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Ind., has increased his support 6 points, up from 37 percent when he was polled against Trump in May to meet Biden at the top of the field when placed against the president.
Sen. Bernie SandersBernie SandersThe Hill’s 12:30 Report: Milley apologizes for church photo-op Harris grapples with defund the police movement amid veep talk Biden courts younger voters — who have been a weakness MORE (I-Vt.) saw a slight decrease in support, based on the poll. Sanders had 34 percent compared to Trump’s 47 percent in the latest poll, down from his 37 percent compared to Trump’s 46 percent in May.
Sen. Elizabeth WarrenElizabeth WarrenWarren, Democrats urge Trump to back down from veto threat over changing Confederate-named bases OVERNIGHT DEFENSE: Joint Chiefs chairman says he regrets participating in Trump photo-op | GOP senators back Joint Chiefs chairman who voiced regret over Trump photo-op | Senate panel approves 0B defense policy bill Trump on collision course with Congress over bases with Confederate names MORE (D-Mass.) polled about the same as she did in May, decreasing 1 point from 42 percent to 41 percent compared to Trump’s stagnant 47 percent when polled against the senator.
This month’s poll also tested former New York City Mayor Michael BloombergMichael BloombergEngel scrambles to fend off primary challenge from left It’s as if a Trump operative infiltrated the Democratic primary process Liberals embrace super PACs they once shunned MORE, a late-entry candidate who had 40 percent support compared to Trump’s 47 percent in the mock up poll.
Trump’s level of support remained within a 45–47 percent range when matched against any of the five candidates surveyed, while the Democrats’ support ranged from Sanders’s 34 percent to Biden’s 44 percent.
Trump’s support could give him a second win in Arizona in 2020, according to pollsters.
“No Democrat has earned more than 47 percent in a presidential election here since LBJ in 1964, but given this president’s apparent ceiling, that might just be enough to win when November rolls around,” said Jacob Joss, an OH Predictive Insights data analyst.
The Arizona Democratic presidential primary will be held on March 17.
The survey was conducted from Dec. 3 to 14. The sample size was 628 completed surveys. The sample demographics accurately reflected party affiliation, gender, region and age, according to OH Predictive Insights.
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